Covaleda vs Arcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
56.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+166%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
COV
1 - 2
CAS
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ABE
0 - 2
COV
84%
11%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +3 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
COV
0 - 3
PIQ
9%
17%
75%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
VAL
4 - 2
COV
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
COV
1 - 5
VAL
21%
21%
59%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ARC
0 - 0
ABE
46%
23%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
PIQ
3 - 1
ARC
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ARC
3 - 2
VAL
19%
20%
61%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 1
ARC
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ARC
4 - 1
GOL
67%
16%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |