Covaleda vs Arcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
38.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+187%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 1
COV
60%
19%
21%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
COV
0 - 0
CAS
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
VAL
5 - 0
COV
57%
20%
23%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
COV
1 - 2
NOR
10%
16%
75%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 1
COV
55%
21%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 2
VAL
48%
22%
31%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 2
ARC
86%
10%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 0
ARC
59%
19%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 1
PIQ
48%
21%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
VIS
3 - 0
ARC
20%
19%
61%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |