Covaleda vs Abejar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
QUI
3 - 1
COV
28%
22%
50%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
COV
3 - 2
NOR
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SJE
4 - 1
COV
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
COV
0 - 0
GOL
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
COV
3 - 2
VAL
32%
23%
45%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Abejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
5 - 0
ABE
85%
10%
4%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
EST
1 - 2
ABE
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VIS
3 - 1
ABE
79%
14%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ABE
0 - 3
QUI
45%
22%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
NOR
0 - 1
ABE
76%
15%
10%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |