Covaleda vs Abejar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
75.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+166%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
PIQ
5 - 3
COV
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
COV
0 - 3
VAL
23%
20%
57%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
COV
0 - 1
SAM
13%
19%
67%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NAV
0 - 3
COV
56%
19%
24%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
COV
1 - 3
GOL
36%
21%
43%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Abejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 2
ABE
15%
21%
64%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ABE
3 - 2
PIQ
38%
24%
38%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ABE
5 - 1
VAL
58%
21%
22%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SAM
3 - 2
ABE
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
ABE
6 - 0
NAV
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |