Covaleda vs Abejar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+166%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ARC
5 - 1
COV
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
COV
1 - 6
NAV
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
COV
23%
21%
55%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIS
0 - 2
COV
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
COV
4 - 4
NAV
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Abejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ABE
4 - 1
VAL
51%
22%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 2
ABE
51%
22%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ABE
2 - 0
QUI
60%
20%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
ABE
44%
23%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ABE
2 - 4
EST
35%
23%
43%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |