El Cotillo vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LPA
2 - 0
COT
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VSB
4 - 3
COT
59%
22%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
COT
1 - 1
LAN
38%
27%
35%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ARU
2 - 0
COT
25%
24%
50%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
COT
3 - 0
MAR
54%
24%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
UDS
0 - 0
VSB
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 1
UDS
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
UDS
2 - 1
ARU
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
UDS
43%
26%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
UDS
3 - 0
VER
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |