El Cotillo vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ARU
2 - 0
COT
25%
24%
50%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
COT
3 - 0
MAR
54%
24%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VER
4 - 1
COT
33%
24%
42%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COT
5 - 0
CDB
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TEL
0 - 4
COT
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 1
VSB
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
LPA
1 - 1
LAN
72%
18%
9%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ARU
1 - 1
LAN
25%
27%
47%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LAN
0 - 0
MAR
71%
18%
12%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VER
1 - 1
LAN
34%
27%
40%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |