El Cotillo vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
EST
1 - 2
COT
58%
22%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COT
3 - 0
VEC
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
TEL
3 - 0
COT
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
COT
1 - 0
UNV
58%
21%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SDT
3 - 2
COT
36%
24%
39%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 2
VEC
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
UNV
2 - 1
LAN
44%
26%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 0
CDM
27%
26%
47%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAG
2 - 0
LAN
66%
21%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 1
CDT
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |