El Cotillo vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
COT
4 - 2
UDL
41%
25%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
UNV
2 - 1
COT
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
COT
0 - 3
UDS
45%
25%
30%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LPA
2 - 0
COT
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VSB
4 - 3
COT
59%
22%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
UDI
1 - 2
VSB
36%
24%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 1
UDI
62%
21%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
UDI
2 - 0
ARU
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
UDI
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
UDI
2 - 1
VER
59%
21%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |