El Cotillo vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UDL
3 - 0
COT
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
COT
2 - 1
CRU
77%
15%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CSU
1 - 0
COT
32%
26%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
COT
0 - 2
TEL
42%
26%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
UNV
2 - 0
COT
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UDI
1 - 2
LPA
11%
18%
71%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
YAI
3 - 2
UDI
47%
26%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
UDI
1 - 0
SDT
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
UDI
35%
26%
39%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
UDI
1 - 0
CDT
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |