El Cotillo vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
5 - 1
COT
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
COT
2 - 4
CDT
29%
23%
49%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CSU
1 - 2
COT
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
COT
1 - 0
LAG
58%
23%
20%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
COT
0 - 1
UDL
58%
22%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CDT
0 - 1
UDI
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
UDI
1 - 1
LAG
49%
26%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ARU
1 - 0
UDI
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
UDI
2 - 1
VSB
23%
23%
55%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
UDI
2 - 2
VSB
22%
23%
56%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |