El Cotillo vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
COT
5 - 1
SBA
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ARG
1 - 0
COT
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
COT
8 - 0
CFP
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
YAI
1 - 1
COT
44%
25%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
COT
3 - 0
HUR
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
UDI
0 - 2
UDL
6%
16%
79%
|
20 | 74 | 54 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
UDI
3 - 1
SYS
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
VIC
5 - 0
UDI
60%
22%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
UDI
1 - 0
FUE
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
CDP
1 - 0
UDI
63%
21%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |