El Cotillo vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
COT
21%
23%
56%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
COT
2 - 0
UNV
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MAS
2 - 2
COT
15%
21%
64%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
COT
3 - 1
BEC
53%
24%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
COT
4 - 0
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
EST
6 - 4
76%
15%
10%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TIN
2 - 2
EST
19%
19%
62%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
68%
17%
15%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
TEL
0 - 2
EST
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
EST
2 - 2
UDL
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |