El Cotillo vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BEC
2 - 0
COT
19%
21%
59%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
COT
4 - 0
MAS
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
COT
4 - 0
VIC
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
DOR
3 - 0
COT
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
COT
2 - 1
CFP
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
EST
2 - 2
TER
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
YAI
1 - 1
EST
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
EST
2 - 1
TAH
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
SPM
2 - 2
EST
22%
21%
57%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
BEC
2 - 2
EST
15%
19%
66%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |