El Cotillo vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
ARG
1 - 2
COT
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
COT
0 - 2
ARU
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
UDG
1 - 0
COT
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
COT
2 - 0
CDT
71%
17%
13%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SPM
1 - 0
COT
24%
23%
54%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
COS
2 - 1
TER
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
YAI
1 - 2
COS
64%
20%
16%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
COS
3 - 2
TAH
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
EST
5 - 1
COS
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
COS
2 - 0
BEC
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +2 |