Cosmos A vs Juan XXIII A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
33.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PLA
8 - 0
COS
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
PIS
6 - 0
COS
62%
18%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
COS
1 - 6
SAL
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CON
5 - 2
COS
54%
20%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
COS
0 - 2
ESP
29%
22%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Juan XXIII A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
JUA
0 - 10
SAL
10%
14%
76%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CON
3 - 2
JUA
64%
17%
19%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
JUA
0 - 3
ESP
32%
22%
47%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FTI
0 - 0
JUA
66%
17%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
JUA
1 - 7
FIL
14%
17%
69%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |