Corgo vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+768%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
GUN
5 - 1
COR
67%
17%
16%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SLU
1 - 3
PAL
40%
24%
36%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SLU
2 - 2
SCO
36%
24%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 1
SLU
54%
22%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
SLU
56%
21%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SLU
6 - 1
RUB
46%
24%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |