Coreses vs Santa Croya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
80.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coreses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CDN
7 - 0
COR
91%
6%
3%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
COR
0 - 2
SPO
35%
22%
43%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
BEN
6 - 2
COR
55%
20%
25%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
COR
0 - 0
FRE
10%
15%
75%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
BOV
3 - 1
COR
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
4 - 3
TOR
95%
3%
1%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SAC
0 - 1
SAN
30%
22%
48%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 5
GCE
21%
18%
61%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
7%
12%
82%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 6
CDN
29%
19%
52%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |