Corellano vs Zarramonza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CDC
4 - 0
CLU
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CDR
1 - 0
CDC
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CDC
3 - 2
CDF
71%
18%
12%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CFB
1 - 1
CDC
17%
21%
63%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CDC
2 - 0
CDC
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Zarramonza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ALU
45%
25%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CDL
4 - 2
ZAR
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ZAR
1 - 0
CDT
43%
24%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CDA
2 - 1
ZAR
79%
14%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ZAR
0 - 0
CDA
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |