Corellano vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ART
0 - 2
CDC
26%
26%
48%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CDC
2 - 1
ATL
28%
25%
46%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
CDC
0 - 1
BUR
42%
26%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ERR
2 - 1
CDC
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CDC
0 - 3
COR
44%
26%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
UDM
1 - 0
MUR
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CAV
0 - 2
UDM
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
HUA
1 - 3
UDM
24%
25%
52%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
UDM
1 - 1
SJU
42%
27%
31%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LAG
2 - 1
UDM
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |