Corellano vs Tudelano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
ZAR
2 - 0
CDC
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
CDC
1 - 1
CDU
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
SDA
2 - 1
CDC
45%
29%
26%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
CDC
2 - 3
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
TAR
1 - 0
CDC
56%
25%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
TUD
3 - 0
BUR
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
SAB
3 - 1
TUD
61%
23%
17%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
TUD
1 - 1
NUM
70%
19%
11%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
BIN
2 - 0
TUD
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 1981 |
TUD
2 - 2
ALA
24%
30%
46%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | +1 |