Corellano vs Subiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PAM
0 - 1
CDC
67%
20%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CDC
1 - 2
PEÑ
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SJU
2 - 0
CDC
66%
20%
14%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CDC
0 - 0
LOU
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 1
CDC
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SUB
2 - 4
PEN
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CDB
3 - 1
SUB
57%
21%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SUB
2 - 3
UDM
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CDA
2 - 4
SUB
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SUB
0 - 3
MUR
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |