Corellano vs River Ega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
41.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
ZAR
4 - 2
CDC
33%
24%
43%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 1
CAV
57%
20%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
CDC
6 - 1
MUR
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ALU
2 - 1
CDC
26%
22%
53%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
3 - 1
FAL
79%
12%
9%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
River Ega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2025 |
RIV
4 - 2
MUR
91%
6%
2%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ALU
3 - 3
RIV
22%
19%
59%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
RIV
7 - 3
FAL
83%
10%
7%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MUS
2 - 5
RIV
4%
9%
87%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
RIV
4 - 3
AZK
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |