Corellano vs La Peña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CDC
4 - 1
BUÑ
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CAV
3 - 6
CDC
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CDC
0 - 1
ART
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
COR
0 - 1
CDC
56%
23%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
CDC
1 - 2
RIB
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
La Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LAP
3 - 0
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ERR
3 - 4
LAP
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LAP
3 - 0
FAL
38%
26%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BUÑ
0 - 5
LAP
57%
22%
21%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LAP
0 - 1
CAV
31%
25%
45%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |