Corellano vs La Peña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ARE
0 - 0
CDC
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CDC
1 - 1
AZK
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
INJ
2 - 3
CDC
30%
25%
46%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
CDC
23%
24%
53%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CDC
2 - 0
ERR
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
La Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
LAP
3 - 1
SES
43%
25%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ZAR
5 - 0
LAP
72%
18%
11%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
LAP
0 - 1
RIB
28%
25%
48%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
LAP
0 - 1
ARE
31%
25%
45%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
AZK
2 - 1
LAP
71%
18%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |