Corellano vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
66.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SJU
2 - 2
CDC
61%
23%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 3
HUA
34%
26%
40%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 1
CDC
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CDC
3 - 0
PAM
39%
27%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 0
CDC
51%
25%
25%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CHA
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
OBE
1 - 0
PEÑ
13%
20%
66%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
ATL
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
IDO
0 - 2
PEÑ
14%
21%
65%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
ERR
88%
9%
3%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |