Corellano vs Peña Azagresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CDB
0 - 0
CDC
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CDC
4 - 1
FON
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 3
CDC
21%
24%
55%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CDC
3 - 2
BID
54%
24%
22%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
CDC
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Azagresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 2
CHA
33%
25%
42%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SUB
2 - 2
PEN
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 0
RIV
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
CDB
3 - 1
PEN
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
CDC
31%
25%
44%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |