Corellano vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
BIN
1 - 0
CDC
78%
15%
8%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
CDC
1 - 0
EJE
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
CHA
1 - 1
CDC
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
CDC
2 - 1
ARN
58%
23%
19%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
HAR
1 - 1
CDC
57%
25%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
NUM
2 - 1
BUR
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
SAB
1 - 1
NUM
72%
18%
11%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
AND
1 - 0
NUM
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
NUM
2 - 1
BIN
50%
25%
25%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
EJE
1 - 0
NUM
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |