Corellano vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AZK
2 - 2
CDC
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CDC
0 - 1
LAG
31%
26%
43%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CAV
3 - 1
CDC
69%
18%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
CDC
86%
11%
4%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
6 - 1
CDC
77%
16%
7%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 0
PEN
41%
25%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 0
LOU
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AZK
0 - 4
MUR
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 1
CDL
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CDT
1 - 1
MUR
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |