Corellano vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
CAV
2 - 0
CDC
38%
25%
37%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CDC
2 - 0
HUA
36%
26%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SJU
3 - 0
CDC
72%
19%
9%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CDC
3 - 1
LAG
51%
25%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
OSA
4 - 0
CDC
85%
11%
4%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CDB
3 - 0
MUR
54%
22%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 1
CAV
54%
24%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
HUA
0 - 2
MUR
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 2
SJU
17%
26%
57%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 2
MUR
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |