Corellano vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
IDO
3 - 1
CDC
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CDS
2 - 1
CDC
33%
23%
44%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ERR
4 - 0
CDC
49%
23%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BID
3 - 1
CDC
57%
23%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CDC
1 - 0
CDB
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 1
INJ
29%
22%
49%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
INF
2 - 3
LOU
55%
20%
25%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 2
PEN
25%
23%
53%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
IDO
3 - 1
LOU
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LOU
4 - 1
CDS
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |