Corellano vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CDC
3 - 0
CHA
23%
23%
55%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
OBE
5 - 1
CDC
63%
21%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CDC
1 - 3
ATL
23%
26%
52%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
IDO
1 - 0
CDC
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
SUB
2 - 0
CDC
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 1
CAN
39%
25%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
LOU
70%
18%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 3
CDA
22%
24%
55%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
OBE
2 - 2
LOU
61%
22%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 2
PEÑ
17%
22%
62%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |