Corellano vs Izarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
75.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CDC
1 - 1
CDB
23%
23%
55%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CDC
1 - 2
SUB
19%
23%
58%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CDA
0 - 2
CDC
82%
13%
5%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CDC
0 - 2
PAM
25%
26%
49%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OSA
4 - 0
CDC
88%
9%
3%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
IZA
4 - 0
SUB
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
HUA
1 - 2
IZA
16%
22%
63%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
IZA
0 - 0
PAM
79%
15%
6%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
IZA
6 - 1
CHA
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
OBE
2 - 2
IZA
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |