Corellano vs Cd Larrate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 3
CDC
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CDC
0 - 2
CDA
28%
24%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 2
CDC
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CDC
0 - 2
MEN
48%
25%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RIB
2 - 2
CDC
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cd Larrate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CDL
2 - 0
ALU
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 1
CDL
70%
17%
14%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |