Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-5
Corellano vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
CAS
2 - 1
CDC
73%
18%
9%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
CDC
3 - 4
BÉJ
50%
26%
24%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
SAL
2 - 1
CDC
70%
20%
11%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1979 |
CDC
2 - 1
AVI
32%
25%
43%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
AVI
2 - 1
CDC
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
RMC
1 - 1
CAS
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
CAS
2 - 0
DEP
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1979 |
CAS
3 - 0
JOV
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
GIM
1 - 0
CAS
36%
32%
32%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
CAS
0 - 0
REC
59%
25%
17%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |