Corellano vs Arnedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
HAR
1 - 1
CDC
57%
25%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
CDC
0 - 2
TUD
54%
25%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
ZAR
2 - 0
CDC
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
CDC
1 - 1
CDU
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
SDA
2 - 1
CDC
45%
29%
26%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
ARN
2 - 0
BUR
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
SAB
4 - 0
ARN
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
ARN
4 - 1
NUM
60%
23%
17%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
BIN
4 - 1
ARN
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
ARN
1 - 0
EJE
45%
26%
29%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |