Corellano vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
FAL
0 - 3
CDC
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CDC
9 - 0
MUS
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
CAD
0 - 5
CDC
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AZK
0 - 1
CDC
25%
23%
53%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 1
CDC
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ALU
3 - 0
MUR
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 1
ALU
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FAL
0 - 1
ALU
18%
18%
65%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALU
8 - 0
MUS
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AZK
1 - 3
ALU
35%
23%
42%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |