Corellano vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GAR
2 - 2
CDC
49%
23%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 1
AOI
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CDC
4 - 0
CDS
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
CDC
35%
24%
41%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDC
4 - 2
INJ
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 0
PEN
40%
22%
38%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
INJ
2 - 1
ALU
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ALU
0 - 1
MUT
35%
22%
44%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CDI
3 - 2
ALU
39%
24%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 0
CDA
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |