Corellano vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
JUA
0 - 0
CDC
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CDC
1 - 1
AVA
39%
25%
36%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BUÑ
2 - 4
CDC
34%
24%
42%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CDC
2 - 1
ZIR
38%
23%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CDC
2 - 0
LOU
32%
25%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALU
2 - 0
PEN
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 3
ALU
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ALU
2 - 0
AZK
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LAG
3 - 1
ALU
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ALU
3 - 4
CAV
47%
24%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |