Corellano vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CDL
0 - 4
CDC
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CDC
2 - 0
CDT
46%
24%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CDA
2 - 0
CDC
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CDA
0 - 1
CDC
33%
24%
43%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CDB
0 - 1
CDC
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ALU
2 - 1
LOU
29%
25%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ALU
3 - 1
CDL
25%
24%
51%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CDT
4 - 1
ALU
66%
18%
15%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CDA
4 - 0
ALU
77%
15%
9%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ALU
3 - 2
CDA
30%
24%
46%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |