Contestano vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 0
CTS
49%
22%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CTS
6 - 2
BEN
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
RAY
0 - 2
CTS
8%
17%
75%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CTS
2 - 3
ONT
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CTS
1 - 0
PIN
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
UDF
2 - 1
MOI
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
UDF
1 - 1
PIN
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
4 - 4
UDF
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
RAY
0 - 0
UDF
12%
18%
71%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
ESI
1 - 2
UDF
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |