Contestano vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ALG
2 - 1
CTS
19%
22%
59%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CTS
1 - 0
LAL
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 1
CTS
32%
27%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CTS
2 - 0
SDS
64%
21%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
CTS
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LAL
3 - 0
PEG
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PEG
1 - 0
SDS
26%
26%
47%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
JAV
2 - 0
PEG
77%
16%
8%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PEG
1 - 0
ALG
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
4 - 1
PEG
80%
15%
6%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |