Contestano vs Alberic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
MUR
2 - 0
CTS
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CTS
3 - 3
RAC
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
CAN
2 - 2
CTS
16%
22%
62%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CTS
0 - 0
PEG
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
FON
2 - 1
CTS
45%
25%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
LAL
1 - 1
ALB
24%
25%
51%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ALB
3 - 2
SPO
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
PRO
1 - 1
ALB
45%
25%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ALB
4 - 0
UEM
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ALB
3 - 1
MUR
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |