CD Comercio vs San Martín Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+121%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PRM
2 - 1
COM
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
LAG
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
ACL
26%
22%
52%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
COM
0 - 0
ARN
32%
23%
46%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SOL
2 - 2
COM
84%
13%
4%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SMA
4 - 1
ARN
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SOL
2 - 1
SMA
74%
17%
8%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SMA
4 - 0
FOR
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SMA
3 - 2
JUC
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
HUR
2 - 0
SMA
12%
19%
69%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -2 |