CD Comercio vs Independiente Fontana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
51.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CSC
0 - 0
COM
9%
17%
74%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FON
2 - 2
COM
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RES
1 - 0
COM
72%
17%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
COM
4 - 1
CAS
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
JUC
1 - 1
COM
21%
22%
58%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Fontana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
CAS
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
IND
2 - 1
JUC
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
OCF
2 - 3
IND
11%
18%
70%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
IND
5 - 1
RES
36%
24%
41%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
IND
6 - 1
CSC
86%
10%
4%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | 0 |