CD Comercio vs Fontana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 1
COM
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
LAG
32%
23%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ARN
2 - 0
COM
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -3 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
JUC
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
HUR
3 - 0
COM
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Fontana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FON
3 - 3
LAG
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 1
FON
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FON
2 - 2
JUC
50%
22%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CSC
1 - 1
FON
13%
17%
70%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FON
0 - 2
SFE
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -3 |