CD Comercio vs Atlético Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
71.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
CAG
0 - 0
COM
81%
13%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
SAR
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
COM
2 - 1
LAS
42%
24%
34%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CCU
0 - 1
COM
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
CSC
1 - 2
COM
9%
16%
76%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
JUC
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
INS
0 - 0
ATL
11%
17%
72%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
UNI
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
VSR
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |