CD Colunga vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
48.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
12º
9º
43
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Colunga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PRA
1 - 0
COL
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
COL
0 - 0
COV
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LEN
0 - 3
COL
35%
27%
38%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
COL
0 - 0
SPB
26%
26%
48%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
COL
68%
23%
10%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LEA
1 - 0
LUA
67%
21%
12%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 0
LEA
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LEA
1 - 0
TUI
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 1
LEA
14%
22%
64%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
UPL
2 - 1
LEA
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |