Ciudad de Zamora vs Santa Croya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
36.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CDN
4 - 0
CZA
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CZA
2 - 1
SPO
55%
20%
26%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
BEN
0 - 1
CZA
33%
22%
46%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CZA
4 - 1
FRE
33%
20%
47%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
BOV
1 - 4
CZA
58%
19%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 6
RCB
37%
19%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
COR
2 - 3
SAN
7%
13%
81%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
4 - 3
TOR
95%
3%
1%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SAC
0 - 1
SAN
30%
22%
48%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 5
GCE
21%
18%
61%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |