CD Ciudad de Mula vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ciudad de Mula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 4
CMU
41%
21%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CMU
0 - 1
EEP
24%
21%
55%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CDB
7 - 3
CMU
28%
21%
51%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 1
CMU
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CMU
2 - 1
CEU
67%
17%
16%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 1
CEU
57%
19%
24%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LCO
4 - 0
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 3
COT
28%
21%
52%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UAR
1 - 0
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 5
CLU
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |